The Election Stats and Analysis

[Glacier]

Here's a thread that should stay in the BC section since I plan to add to it after the election hype is over.

Anyway, here are some interesting stats:
There were 18 different political parties running in BC plus 31 independents.

Top 5 independent vote takers:

Nicholas Wong in Delta South with 25.7% of the vote.
Bob Fedderly in Peace River North with 19.3% of the vote.
Peter Entwistle in Boundary-Similkameen with 14.2% of the vote.
Rob Fraser in Peace River North with 6.1% of the vote.
Tom Bryant in Surrey-White Rock with 3.4% of the vote.

Political Parties Ranked by Number of Candidates:

BC Liberal Party with 87 candidates.
BC NDP with 87 candidates.
BC Green Party with 83 candidates.
Libertarian with 30 candidates.
BC Conservative Party with 10 candidates.
Your Political Party of BC (YPP) with 10 candidates.
Communist Party of BC with 6 candidates.
Christian Heritage Party of B.C. with 5 candidates.
The Vancouver Island Party with 4 candidates.
BC Refed with 3 candidates.
BC Action Party with 2 candidates.
BC Cascadia Party with 2 candidates.
BC Social Credit Party with 2 candidates.
4BC with 1 candidate.
BC Citizens First Party with 1 candidate.
BC First with 1 candidate.
Land Air Water-The L.A.W. with 1 candidate.
Republican Party with 1 candidate.

Where did the Liberals do the Best?

Mike Bernier in Peace River South with 75.6% of the vote.
Dan Davies in Peace River North with 66.3% of the vote.
Norm Letnick in Kelowna-Lake Country with 60.1% of the vote.
Christy Clark in Kelowna West with 59.6% of the vote.
Donna Barnett in Cariboo-Chilcotin with 58.8% of the vote.

Where did the NDP do the Best?

Melanie Mark in Vancouver-Mount Pleasant with 64.9% of the vote.
Spencer Chandra Herbert in Vancouver-West End with 61.3% of the vote.
Adrian Dix in Vancouver-Kingsway with 60.1% of the vote.
Katrine Conroy in Kootenay West with 59.7% of the vote.
Shane Lee Simpson in Vancouver-Hastings with 59.4% of the vote.

Where did the Greens do the Best?

Andrew John Weaver in Oak Bay-Gordon Head with 51.9% of the vote.
Adam Olsen in Saanich North and the Islands with 41.7% of the vote.
Sonia Furstenau in Cowichan Valley with 37.2% of the vote.
Kalen Harris in Victoria-Beacon Hill with 30.3% of the vote.
Christopher Alan Maxwell in Victoria-Swan Lake with 29.9% of the vote.

Where did the Liberals do the worst?

Karen Bill in Victoria-Beacon Hill with 15.7% of the vote.
Stacey Piercey in Victoria-Swan Lake with 16% of the vote.
Conny Lin in Vancouver-Mount Pleasant with 16.4% of the vote.
Lorraine Brett in New Westminster with 21.3% of the vote.
Jane Spitz in Vancouver-Hastings with 22.3% of the vote.

And my all time favourite question to ask: Where did the NDP do the worst?

Rob Dempsey in Peace River North with 6.5% of the vote.
Bruce Reid in Delta South with 20.4% of the vote.
Erik Olesen in Kelowna-Lake Country with 20.7% of the vote.
Harwinder Kaur Sandhu in Kelowna-Mission with 21% of the vote.
Nancy Bepple in Kamloops-South Thompson with 21.5% of the vote.

[rustled]

Interesting that the ridings where people would be most adversely impacted by Site C voted Liberal.

Where did the Liberals do the Best?

Mike Bernier in Peace River South with 75.6% of the vote.
Dan Davies in Peace River North with 66.3% of the vote.

[alfred2]

now that the election is over, ndp remove your signs off the streets. Driving down springfeild and enterprise the only uglu signs left were ndp, are you privelidged or sore because you lost.

[GordonH]

BC Liberal support went down by 60,170 voters
NDP dropped by 1,218 voters
Green's increased by 154,763 voters

Absentee ballots have not entered

[Glacier]

BC Liberal support went down by 60,170 voters
NDP dropped by 1,218 voters
Green's increased by 154,763 voters

Absentee ballots have not entered

It really depends on where you live. Liberals were WAY up in the Peace (Site C territory) where they took 70% of the vote. The only other area of the province see even close to 60% was Kelowna.

At the other end, they were down in Surrey where they are upset that people in the interior aren't footing the bill to pay for their expensive bridge.

EDIT: By contrast, the green vote change...

[GordonH]

^^^ I was just looking at the raw vote, it will be interesting to see outcome of absentee ballots in the Courtney-Comox riding.

[Glacier]

^^^ I was just looking at the raw vote, it will be interesting to see outcome of absentee ballots in the Courtney-Comox riding.

You're talking out your *bleep* then because the Liberal vote went up by 10,101 over last election. 734,198 votes in 2017
and 724,097 in 2013 (prior to absentee ballots).

[GordonH]

^^^ I was just looking at the raw vote, it will be interesting to see outcome of absentee ballots in the Courtney-Comox riding.

You're talking out your *bleep* then because the Liberal vote went up by 10,101 over last election. 73,4198 votes in 2017
and 72,4097 in 2013 (prior to absentee ballots).

Don't know were you go for your info, I go to Elections BC
2017 Election results: http://electionsbcenr.blob.core.windows ... Party.html
2013 Election results: http://142.34.128.33/docs/rpt/2013GE/2013-GE-SOV.pdf
Look at page 19

[Glacier]

Two more...

[GordonH]

2013 results have total votes cast including absentee ballots
2017 results only have votes cast from advance polls & General election, no Absentee votes.

Once those votes are counted a true picture will be knowing

[Glacier]

^^^ I was just looking at the raw vote, it will be interesting to see outcome of absentee ballots in the Courtney-Comox riding.

You're talking out your *bleep* then because the Liberal vote went up by 10,101 over last election. 73,4198 votes in 2017
and 72,4097 in 2013 (prior to absentee ballots).

Don't know were you go for your info, I go to Elections BC
2017 Election results: http://electionsbcenr.blob.core.windows ... Party.html
2013 Election results: http://142.34.128.33/docs/rpt/2013GE/2013-GE-SOV.pdf
Look at page 19

Dude, you are counting absentee ballots in 2013. That's an apples to oranges comparison. I'm comparing apples to apples by counting election day and advanced voting only for both.

[GordonH]

Those apples are on the way as soon as the absentee votes are counted

Added: if you noticed in my first post, I made mention the absentee was not added. Only 1 it would not be added to was 2017 election, since Election BC has not counted those ballots.

[Urban Cowboy]

BC Liberal support went down by 60,170 voters
NDP dropped by 1,218 voters
Green's increased by 154,763 voters

Absentee ballots have not entered

That's really interesting, given how I just heard Horgan saying that the "majority" of British Columbians wanted change, as if they'd chosen him. Not to mention the popular vote went to the Liberals, and they won the most seats, so I'm struggling to understand in what context he feels entitled to use that term?

Sure things could change with absentee ballots, but no one knows the result of those yet.

Seems to me the real winners were the Green party. Good for him, it looks like he siphoned enough NDP votes to deny them a majority.

[A_Britishcolumbian]

hate to sully your beautiful thread here glacier, but, just to address the fact that we are waiting still for the numbers to better complete this picture...

Seems to me the real winners were the Green party. Good for him, it looks like he siphoned enough NDP votes to deny them a majority.

i would think that people that are not interpreting, or can not interpret the simplest plus/minus of the numbers, might be better not presenting analysis.

re: the example provided, if the bclibs lost, ndp gained, and the greens gained, then concluding that somehow the 'greens siphoned' votes from the ndp is less than baseless (given the resolution of current data) it is simply logically incorrect.

[Queen K]

BC Liberal support went down by 60,170 voters
NDP dropped by 1,218 voters
Green's increased by 154,763 voters

Absentee ballots have not entered

That's really interesting, given how I just heard Horgan saying that the "majority" of British Columbians wanted change, as if they'd chosen him. Not to mention the popular vote went to the Liberals, and they won the most seats, so I'm struggling to understand in what context he feels entitled to use that term?

Sure things could change with absentee ballots, but no one knows the result of those yet.

Seems to me the real winners were the Green party. Good for him, it looks like he siphoned enough NDP votes to deny them a majority.

And Old Techie, you and I both know that neo-con Liberal supporters were posting things like "vote Green if you can't vote Liberal for precisely this result. Split the vote, split the vote, do anything but split the vote if you can't vote Liberal.

Congratulations? But the end result is a minority government which likely won't last and we'll back in the political threads trying to charm each other into voting "our way" again.