Temperature increase

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JagXKR
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Re: Temperature increase

Post by JagXKR »

Fancy wrote:It rained in the Okanagan - good enough for me.


Forecast of 5-10mm in Penticton and it barely spat. Not good enough for me.
Why use a big word when a diminutive one will suffice.
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Glacier
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Re: Temperature increase

Post by Glacier »

JagXKR wrote:
Fancy wrote:It rained in the Okanagan - good enough for me.


Forecast of 5-10mm in Penticton and it barely spat. Not good enough for me.

What forecast were you reading? My forecast (from EC) was only calling for "showers" with no set amount.
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JagXKR
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Re: Temperature increase

Post by JagXKR »

Don't remember the day, Thur maybe Fri, but the forecast changed every time it came out. 5am said one thing, 11am said another and 4pm said another. One had rain and I thought it said 5-10, I may be wrong on that. But I clearly remember each one being different.
Your own image had Penticton at 28mm! Not even 0.2 came. I was getting ready to fertilize and so glad I didn't. Need the rain to get the stuff in the ground properly.
Always fertilize before a good rain.
I never trust EC for an accurate forecast, NEVER.
Why use a big word when a diminutive one will suffice.
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Glacier
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Re: Temperature increase

Post by Glacier »

Ya, my model was like 4 days out, and as we know precipitation models suck donkey nuts beyond 2 days.
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Frisk
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Re: Temperature increase

Post by Frisk »

They're calling for a pretty good amount of rain tomorrow, 10-20mm.
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Glacier
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Re: Temperature increase

Post by Glacier »

Frisk wrote:They're calling for a pretty good amount of rain tomorrow, 10-20mm.

Yup, and this will push stream flows up over the 100 year flood lines, which means higher than has ever been seen in recorded history (records are only 50 or 60 years old).

eg. Mission Creek is supposed to hit the 1 in 100 year flood level...

missioncreek3.png


eg2: West Kettle.. WOW!

westkettle.png


But if you think that's not going to happen, check out Nazko in the Cariboo!!! It looks to be somewhere around 1 in 500 year!

NazkoRiver2.png
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Last edited by Glacier on May 8th, 2018, 10:55 am, edited 1 time in total.
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CapitalB
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Re: Temperature increase

Post by CapitalB »

That climate change is rough hey
So much of the violent push-back on everything progressive and reformist comes down to: I can see the future, and in this future I am not the centre of the universe and master of all that I survey, therefore this future must be resisted at all costs.
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Glacier
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Re: Temperature increase

Post by Glacier »

CapitalB wrote:That climate change is rough hey

Do you know the difference between climate and weather?
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Frisk
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Re: Temperature increase

Post by Frisk »

Glacier wrote:
eg. Mission Creek is supposed to hit the 1 in 100 year flood level...


I took a drive to check out mission creek a couple of days ago & I thought it looked pretty maxed out on how much water it could take. Crazy to think that the flow rate is supposed to be double what it was then.
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tsayta
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Re: Temperature increase

Post by tsayta »

EC just revised the rain forecast down.
I have learned that to be with those I like is enough.
WW
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Frisk
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Re: Temperature increase

Post by Frisk »

tsayta wrote:EC just revised the rain forecast down.


I think they revised it up a bit? They're now calling for 15-30mm over the next 36 hours?
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tsayta
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Re: Temperature increase

Post by tsayta »

I see that. You are right!
I have learned that to be with those I like is enough.
WW
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CapitalB
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Re: Temperature increase

Post by CapitalB »

Glacier wrote:
CapitalB wrote:That climate change is rough hey

Do you know the difference between climate and weather?


Do you? As climate changes it causes effects seen in the weather. This happens in systems that aren't working in complete isolation. With these types of systems you could almost call them symbiotic, in that when one gets out of wack the other will feel the effects.
So much of the violent push-back on everything progressive and reformist comes down to: I can see the future, and in this future I am not the centre of the universe and master of all that I survey, therefore this future must be resisted at all costs.
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Frisk
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Re: Temperature increase

Post by Frisk »

30mm in one day would be a lotta rain. Kelowna's average for the whole month of May is 40mm.
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Glacier
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Re: Temperature increase

Post by Glacier »

Frisk wrote:30mm in one day would be a lotta rain. Kelowna's average for the whole month of May is 40mm.

Thunderstorm activity is pretty hit and miss. One spot gets 30mm another gets almost nothing.

EG: On May 26th, 1998 Osoyoos had 51.8 mm of precipitation. Kelowna only had 4.8 mm that day. Oh, and Keremeos had 45.8 mm and Summerland 9.8 mm.

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