Poll Thread

jimmy4321
Guru
Posts: 6839
Joined: Jun 6th, 2010, 5:40 pm

Re: Poll Thread

Post by jimmy4321 »

Polls in Canada may be tie% but polls are honest opinions, ballots on the other hand can be strategic- people are far more likely to support Libs to keep Cons out on election day
User avatar
The Green Barbarian
Insanely Prolific
Posts: 60065
Joined: Sep 16th, 2010, 9:13 am

Re: Poll Thread

Post by The Green Barbarian »

jimmy4321 wrote:Polls in Canada may be tie% but polls are honest opinions, ballots on the other hand can be strategic- people are far more likely to support Libs to keep Cons out on election day


I'd say the reverse. Strategically, the only vote that makes sense is to vote for the Conservatives.
LET'S GO BRANDON!

Justin Trudeau is a blight on our once great country.
jimmy4321
Guru
Posts: 6839
Joined: Jun 6th, 2010, 5:40 pm

Re: Poll Thread

Post by jimmy4321 »

*removed*
Last edited by ferri on Oct 8th, 2019, 12:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: Cross posting
User avatar
Urban Cowboy
Guru
Posts: 7517
Joined: Apr 27th, 2013, 3:47 pm

Re: Poll Thread

Post by Urban Cowboy »

I've always wondered what the percentage is of voters, who when asked questions in a poll, deliberately give a wrong answer?

You can bet that happens a lot.
“We isolate now so when we gather again, no one is missing" - Unknown
User avatar
Jmfva
Übergod
Posts: 1399
Joined: Mar 10th, 2010, 5:02 pm

Re: Poll Thread

Post by Jmfva »

Urban Cowboy wrote:I've always wondered what the percentage is of voters, who when asked questions in a poll, deliberately give a wrong answer?

You can bet that happens a lot.


I've wondered this myself, it would be so easy to throw off expectations.
User avatar
Urban Cowboy
Guru
Posts: 7517
Joined: Apr 27th, 2013, 3:47 pm

Re: Poll Thread

Post by Urban Cowboy »

Jmfva wrote:
Urban Cowboy wrote:I've always wondered what the percentage is of voters, who when asked questions in a poll, deliberately give a wrong answer?

You can bet that happens a lot.


I've wondered this myself, it would be so easy to throw off expectations.


Exactly, and I'm sure some would do that simply because they feel their vote, and whom they vote for, is no one's business but their own in the voting booth.
“We isolate now so when we gather again, no one is missing" - Unknown
butcher99
Guru
Posts: 5751
Joined: Mar 6th, 2005, 8:52 pm

Re: Poll Thread

Post by butcher99 »

Urban Cowboy wrote:I've always wondered what the percentage is of voters, who when asked questions in a poll, deliberately give a wrong answer?

You can bet that happens a lot.


but if that does happen it would correct itself as both or all sides would be doing it unless...... TIS A GRAND CONSPIRACY.
butcher99
Guru
Posts: 5751
Joined: Mar 6th, 2005, 8:52 pm

Re: Poll Thread

Post by butcher99 »

The latest polls on 338canada.com show the liberals pulling away again and the conservatives falling off.

Their polls are an amalgamation of all the polls out there.

http://338canada.com/
User avatar
Ka-El
Walks on Forum Water
Posts: 12721
Joined: Oct 18th, 2015, 9:19 am

Re: Poll Thread

Post by Ka-El »

*removed*
Last edited by ferri on Oct 9th, 2019, 3:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: Off Topic
Stop hate: don't feed the alt-right troll
User avatar
Urban Cowboy
Guru
Posts: 7517
Joined: Apr 27th, 2013, 3:47 pm

Re: Poll Thread

Post by Urban Cowboy »

butcher99 wrote:
Urban Cowboy wrote:I've always wondered what the percentage is of voters, who when asked questions in a poll, deliberately give a wrong answer?

You can bet that happens a lot.


but if that does happen it would correct itself as both or all sides would be doing it unless...... TIS A GRAND CONSPIRACY.


Not necessarily.

It's entirely reasonable to speculate that a certain demographic would be more inclined to do this than another.

Older ones come to mind, as they are more guarded, compared to say the younger generation, who post everything on social media within seconds.

Not saying that it's so, but certainly possible.
“We isolate now so when we gather again, no one is missing" - Unknown
User avatar
The Green Barbarian
Insanely Prolific
Posts: 60065
Joined: Sep 16th, 2010, 9:13 am

Re: Poll Thread

Post by The Green Barbarian »

A new poll taken after Monday’s federal leaders’ debate suggests that rising support for the Bloc Québécois in Quebec could put the Conservatives in power.

The telephone survey of 1,013 Canadians by Forum Research Inc. has the Tories leading with 35 per cent of voter intentions, while the Liberals are trailing with 28 per cent.

It puts the NDP in third place with 13 per cent, virtually tied with the Green Party at 12 per cent, while the Bloc Québécois has seven per cent and the People’s Party has three per cent.

The poll was conducted on Monday night and Tuesday.

The pollster said that could translate into a Conservative minority government, with 152 seats for the Tories, 117 for the Liberals, 36 for the Bloc Québécois, 29 for the NDP and four for the Greens.

While previous Forum polls since January had showed the Bloc winning between zero and 27 seats, this one suggests the Quebec sovereignist party could win 36 seats — almost half of Quebec’s total of 78.

“In the immediate aftermath of the debate, support seems to be shifting away from the Liberals,” said Lorne Bozinoff, president of Forum Research.

“Rising intention for the Bloc is hurting their seat prospects in Quebec, while the Conservatives are slightly above where we saw them a few weeks ago,” he added.

Quebec Premier François Legault lashed out at Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau Tuesday for boasting in the debate that he was the only federal leader ready to say he might make use of the courts to fight Quebec’s secularism law.

Legault slammed Trudeau for saying he might contest Bill 21 despite popular support for it in Quebec, calling Trudeau’s comments “very regrettable.”

Asked which leader won the debate, 23 per cent of respondents said it was Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer, 21 per cent said NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh, 15 per cent said Trudeau, seven per cent said Bloc Leader Yves-François Blanchet and five per cent said Green Leader Elizabeth May.

Twenty-nine per cent said Trudeau lost the debate, while 21 per cent said Scheer lost it.
Another 15 per cent said People’s Party Leader Maxime Bernier lost the debate, while six per cent said Blanchet did, four per cent said Singh did, and three per cent said May did.

Twenty-nine per cent said Scheer would make the best prime minister, beating Trudeau at 25 per cent, followed by Singh at 19 per cent and May at eight per cent.

A previous poll by Forum conducted one week ago showed the Liberals ahead in popular support with 34 per cent of voter intentions, just ahead of the Conservatives at 31 per cent. That poll showed the NDP and Greens far behind with 12 per cent each, and the Bloc with six per cent. Under that scenario, it said, the Liberals could win 168 seats, the Tories 130, the NDP 21, the Bloc 15 and the Greens four.


https://montrealgazette.com/news/local- ... e-minority
LET'S GO BRANDON!

Justin Trudeau is a blight on our once great country.
floppi
Lord of the Board
Posts: 4671
Joined: Oct 20th, 2007, 12:46 pm

Re: Poll Thread

Post by floppi »

Funny 338 poll says the Libs will have the best chance for a majority.

http://338canada.com/

Funny so does calculated politics poll...

https://calculatedpolitics.ca/2019-cana ... -election/
User avatar
The Green Barbarian
Insanely Prolific
Posts: 60065
Joined: Sep 16th, 2010, 9:13 am

Re: Poll Thread

Post by The Green Barbarian »

floppi wrote:Funny 338 poll says the Libs will have the best chance for a majority.


Funny how people seem to gravitate to whatever poll they want to believe. Do I think that Quebec is dropping support for the Liberals? Yeah, probably. Trudeau totally fumbled the ball.
LET'S GO BRANDON!

Justin Trudeau is a blight on our once great country.
butcher99
Guru
Posts: 5751
Joined: Mar 6th, 2005, 8:52 pm

Re: Poll Thread

Post by butcher99 »

The Green Barbarian wrote:
A new poll taken after Monday’s federal leaders’ debate suggests that rising support for the Bloc Québécois in Quebec could put the Conservatives in power.



https://montrealgazette.com/news/local- ... e-minority


338canada.com disagrees with you. They take all the polls and put them together to get a trend and then make predictions on that. fivethirtyeight.com in the US used the same strategy in the US election and they were the only poll to get it close to correct. They show the conservatives falling in support across the country in their prediction of who will be in power. I like the trend. ABC. or ABCPC or what every they are calling themselves now.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
The Green Barbarian
Insanely Prolific
Posts: 60065
Joined: Sep 16th, 2010, 9:13 am

Re: Poll Thread

Post by The Green Barbarian »

butcher99 wrote:
338canada.com disagrees with you. .


As I told the other Liberals, everyone pays attention to the poll they want. We're down to the last two weeks now, and it's all about momentum. If you don't want to believe that the Liberals are collapsing in Quebec, that's your call. Keep believing that. If you remember the terrible events of 2015, it was right around now that Trudeau started gaining momentum across Canada that led to the pain and suffering of a Liberal majority we've had to endure since. It's quite plausible that the Liberals could implode just as fast this time, especially in Quebec, where they vote a lot like Alberta, in one giant mass for one main party.
LET'S GO BRANDON!

Justin Trudeau is a blight on our once great country.

Return to “Federal Election 2019”