Predictions
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- The Pilgrim
- Posts: 36823
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Re: Predictions
Frisk wrote:I'll guess a conservative minority
agree 100%
"The further a society drifts from truth the more it will hate those who speak it." -George Orwell
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- Buddha of the Board
- Posts: 16145
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Re: Predictions
Yes, strong advance polls invariably point to voters wanting change. As of today, the Conservatives have overtaken the Liberals in number of seats. That's the first time in months. That momentum will propel Andrew Scheer to a majority government, one in which we'll all be better off than the current fluster cluck.Hurtlander wrote:I’m not sure if this is a prediction or not, but evidently a record number of ballots have been cast in just the first two days of early voting. Isn’t that usually an indicator that we’re about to see a change in government ?
It seems like these days people only turn out in great numbers to vote when they’re angry with the government.
ΜΟΛΩΝ ΛΑΒΕ
2015 - 2025: The Lost Liberal Decade
Elbows up, morons! You've been taken to the woodshed.
2015 - 2025: The Lost Liberal Decade
Elbows up, morons! You've been taken to the woodshed.
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- Insanely Prolific
- Posts: 110042
- Joined: Sep 16th, 2010, 9:13 am
Re: Predictions
Yes it will be interesting on Oct 22nd when the Conservatives are able to get into the books and see just how much corruption has been going on behind the scenes. I am wondering if Justin's living in that cottage at 24 Sussex has been prepping him for the upcoming jail time he is probably facing. At least he'll have his best bud Gerry there with him to keep him company.Gone_Fishin wrote:
Yes, strong advance polls invariably point to voters wanting change. As of today, the Conservatives have overtaken the Liberals in number of seats. That's the first time in months. That momentum will propel Andrew Scheer to a majority government, one in which we'll all be better off than the current fluster cluck.
Canadians were tricked into returning the same failed party to power.
To the 30% who still support Mark Carney,
... you are the dumbest people alive.
To the 30% who still support Mark Carney,
... you are the dumbest people alive.
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- Insanely Prolific
- Posts: 110042
- Joined: Sep 16th, 2010, 9:13 am
Re: Predictions
https://www.burnabynow.com/opinion/blog ... 1.23976499
Looks like Svend is poised to "steal" this riding from the Liberals. He must be thinking of the voters as jewelry to keep motivated to campaign. Anyway, this riding is indicative of what is happening to the Liberals right now. Even "safe" seats are falling. The Liberal campaign is in complete implosion right now.
Looks like Svend is poised to "steal" this riding from the Liberals. He must be thinking of the voters as jewelry to keep motivated to campaign. Anyway, this riding is indicative of what is happening to the Liberals right now. Even "safe" seats are falling. The Liberal campaign is in complete implosion right now.
Canadians were tricked into returning the same failed party to power.
To the 30% who still support Mark Carney,
... you are the dumbest people alive.
To the 30% who still support Mark Carney,
... you are the dumbest people alive.
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- Buddha of the Board
- Posts: 16145
- Joined: Sep 6th, 2006, 7:43 am
Re: Predictions
You know it's bad when a jewelry thief is trusted more than the Liberals.The Green Barbarian wrote:https://www.burnabynow.com/opinion/blog ... 1.23976499
Looks like Svend is poised to "steal" this riding from the Liberals. He must be thinking of the voters as jewelry to keep motivated to campaign. Anyway, this riding is indicative of what is happening to the Liberals right now. Even "safe" seats are falling. The Liberal campaign is in complete implosion right now.
ΜΟΛΩΝ ΛΑΒΕ
2015 - 2025: The Lost Liberal Decade
Elbows up, morons! You've been taken to the woodshed.
2015 - 2025: The Lost Liberal Decade
Elbows up, morons! You've been taken to the woodshed.
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- Buddha of the Board
- Posts: 22845
- Joined: Jul 8th, 2007, 7:41 pm
Re: Predictions
Something else to consider is the polling. You can look at the average of the polls, and there are a lot of polling companies, to get an idea of how things might end up. However, some pollsters have a history of being more accurate than others. I was just reading an article which singled out Forum as having had the most accurate final poll in 2015. So check out their results and you might have a good idea of how things will turn out this time. Or not.
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- Buddha of the Board
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Re: Predictions
- Gone_Fishin wrote:
Yes, strong advance polls invariably point to voters wanting change. As of today, the Conservatives have overtaken the Liberals in number of seats. That's the first time in months. That momentum will propel Andrew Scheer to a majority government, one in which we'll all be better off than the current fluster cluck.
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- Insanely Prolific
- Posts: 110042
- Joined: Sep 16th, 2010, 9:13 am
Re: Predictions
We could be looking at a repeat here of 2011. That would be wonderful.Urbane wrote: Momentum is what is often overlooked so we look at the hard data and assume there will be a minority government. It may well be a minority government but on the other hand your prediction might be on the money. There are a couple of polls that show the Conservatives up by five points or more nationally and with the NDP and Bloc taking away some Liberal votes the final seat total on election night might surprise people. Momentum is the key.
Canadians were tricked into returning the same failed party to power.
To the 30% who still support Mark Carney,
... you are the dumbest people alive.
To the 30% who still support Mark Carney,
... you are the dumbest people alive.
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- The Pilgrim
- Posts: 42500
- Joined: Sep 18th, 2007, 7:28 am
Re: Predictions
End of the day people will vote for who they like and Scheer is the least popular. Cons should have offered up a different Leader, they had enuff people who qualified
So LIBS will take it.. Andrew has always been a attack type person.. dimples and all
So LIBS will take it.. Andrew has always been a attack type person.. dimples and all
There are 2 ways to do things. My way and my other way
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- Buddha of the Board
- Posts: 15179
- Joined: Oct 18th, 2015, 9:19 am
Re: Predictions
As long as we end up with neither a Liberal nor a Con majority I will be relieved. As noted by many here, we will be far better served by a minority government protecting us from reckless and extremist ideas, and holding government to account.
I predict a strong showing by the Cons in the Okanagan Valley (yawn), perhaps even western Canada, but hopefully not enough to form a majority. A strong advance turnout usually means people are looking for change, but with 70% saying they intend to show up and vote (that is a much bigger number than we are used to) literally anything could happen.
I predict a strong showing by the Cons in the Okanagan Valley (yawn), perhaps even western Canada, but hopefully not enough to form a majority. A strong advance turnout usually means people are looking for change, but with 70% saying they intend to show up and vote (that is a much bigger number than we are used to) literally anything could happen.
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- Insanely Prolific
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- Joined: Sep 16th, 2010, 9:13 am
Re: Predictions
Not sure why people would say that Scheer isn't popular, other than for partisan purposes. I've met him and he's a great guy. Perhaps you should meet him first before you judge?normaM wrote:End of the day people will vote for who they like and Scheer is the least popular. Cons should have offered up a different Leader, they had enuff people who qualified
So LIBS will take it.. Andrew has always been a attack type person.. dimples and all
Canadians were tricked into returning the same failed party to power.
To the 30% who still support Mark Carney,
... you are the dumbest people alive.
To the 30% who still support Mark Carney,
... you are the dumbest people alive.
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- The Pilgrim
- Posts: 42500
- Joined: Sep 18th, 2007, 7:28 am
Re: Predictions
I think the strong advance voting has more to do with the Snowbirds
There are 2 ways to do things. My way and my other way
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- Buddha of the Board
- Posts: 15179
- Joined: Oct 18th, 2015, 9:19 am
Re: Predictions
While the Cons will win a couple of seats in the Okanagan and Alberta, it would seem Scheer really is unpopular with most of the rest of Canada. Whether it's his presumptive arrogance or the fact he has nothing believable to offer so far in this campaign other than his petulant attacks it seems most of the country is looking for another choice. With 70% of the electorate saying they intend to vote this election maybe we will see real change. Or maybe we'll see more of the same.normaM wrote: End of the day people will vote for who they like and Scheer is the least popular.
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- Walks on Forum Water
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Re: Predictions
Also doesn't help that his real world experience is limited to being an insurance office clerk for a few months.Ka-El wrote:While the Cons will win a couple of seats in the Okanagan and Alberta, it would seem Scheer really is unpopular with most of the rest of Canada. Whether it's his presumptive arrogance or the fact he has nothing believable to offer so far in this campaign other than his petulant attacks it seems most of the country is looking for another choice. With 70% of the electorate saying they intend to vote this election maybe we will see real change. Or maybe we'll see more of the same.normaM wrote: End of the day people will vote for who they like and Scheer is the least popular.
That's not something that screams of qualification for the highest office in the land.
Every song ends.....
but is that any reason not to enjoy the music? - Ellie Harp (One Tree Hill)
but is that any reason not to enjoy the music? - Ellie Harp (One Tree Hill)
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- Insanely Prolific
- Posts: 110042
- Joined: Sep 16th, 2010, 9:13 am
Re: Predictions
Unpopular with some people maybe, but otherwise, this is a false statement.Ka-El wrote: While the Cons will win a couple of seats in the Okanagan and Alberta, it would seem Scheer really is unpopular with most of the rest of Canada..
Canadians were tricked into returning the same failed party to power.
To the 30% who still support Mark Carney,
... you are the dumbest people alive.
To the 30% who still support Mark Carney,
... you are the dumbest people alive.