Fire Season Weather Thread

[Frisk]

Lots of single celled thunderstorms this afternoon in the southeast center. Those can be troublesome because lightning often strikes outside of the cell and doesn't get and precipitation = dry lightning.

[Star Light]

Lots of single celled thunderstorms this afternoon in the southeast center. Those can be troublesome because lightning often strikes outside of the cell and doesn't get and precipitation = dry lightning.

*Yikes*.......dry lightning we so don't need!!!

[Frisk]

I saw a couple of these planes flying over kamloops this evening. According to the Facebook page they are from Ontario and are headed to the lower mainland to assist with firefighting there.

[tsayta]

Yes resources are coming from Ontario and new Zealand under a mutual support agreement

[Frisk]

From New Zealand? That's quite a ways to send resources!

[tsayta]

Yes. Sounds crazy. I seem to remember in the winter we helped out the other way

[Frisk]

It's unfortunate that we're running low on resources, that's the exact same mistake we made in 2003. I'm glad to hear they are bringing in reinforcements though.

[Frisk]

Potential for rain starting saturday is looking pretty good.

Kelowna

Sat, 11 Jul A mix of sun and cloud with 40 percent chance of showers. High 29.
Night Cloudy periods with 40 percent chance of showers. Low 17.

Sun, 12 Jul A mix of sun and cloud with 40 percent chance of showers. High 31.
Night Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 16.

Mon, 13 Jul Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 25.

Night Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 15.
Tue, 14 Jul A mix of sun and cloud. High 27.

[Frisk]

The northern part of BC will be getting a good soaking of rain tonight and tomorrow as a big moisture system moves across the region. In Fort Nelson and Dease Lake the rest of the week is forecasted to be cooler with a decent possibility of rain everyday. This will help greatly with the high danger rating.

Dease Lake
https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/bc-14_metric_e.html

Fort Nelson
https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/bc-83_metric_e.html

[Frisk]

Rain possibility still looking good. Earliest chance is tomorrow night however if you live in the south okanagan there's a risk of thunderstorms developing tomorrow afternoon.

Kelowna

Today Sunny. Local smoke. High 36. UV index 8 or very high.
Tonight Clear. Local smoke. Low 17.

Fri, 10 Jul Mainly sunny. Local smoke. Wind becoming south 20 km/h late in the afternoon. High 33.
Night Cloudy periods with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 16.

Sat, 11 Jul A mix of sun and cloud. High 31.
Night Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 16.

Sun, 12 Jul A mix of sun and cloud with 30 percent chance of showers. High 27.
Night Cloudy periods with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 15.

Mon, 13 Jul Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 26.
Night Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 15.

Tue, 14 Jul A mix of sun and cloud with 30 percent chance of showers. High 26.
Night Cloudy periods. Low 15.

Wed, 15 Jul A mix of sun and cloud. High 28.

[tsayta]

Cumulonimbus thermal pop ups coming now

[madadam]

http://www.castanet.net/edition/news-st ... htm#143820

Andre Besson with Environment Canada says there will be low flow in the area today, which means smoke from nearby wildfires will remain overnight.

“We are in a change of weather pattern, starting tomorrow. The current upper ridge of high pressure will start breaking down, as we have an upper trough that will move over the coast and this will help destabilize the atmosphere over the province, bringing with it strong, moist, unstable air over the Interior.”

Those living in Vernon may notice their skies are much clearer compared to Kelowna. That's due to northwest winds pushing the haze to the south. Besson is forecasting 20 km/h winds to pick up in Kelowna this afternoon, which may push some of the smoke further south.

“But, because we are under this ridge of high pressure, there won’t be much flow that will push all of the smoke out,” he says, which means we could be under these grey skies for a few more days.

A smoky skies advisory remains in affect for most of the Southern Interior. Those with chronic underlying medical conditions should postpone strenuous exercise until the advisory is lifted.

Friday and into the weekend, Kelowna could experience thunderstorms with lightning.

“Because it has been so warm, a lot of precipitation that will come with this storm will not even reach the surface – it may evaporate,” explains Besson, who adds that dry lighting is in the forecast for the weekend.

Besson isn’t making assumptions on how much precipitation the Central Okanagan will get or where showers will happen, but says he hopes most fires in the region receive some rain.

“What we really need for these forest fires is widespread large-scale precipitation, basically 15 mm of precipitation over two or three days. But, right now, I don’t foresee that kind of precipitation."

[Frisk]

Tomorrow could be a really good day (lots of rain) or a really bad day (dry lightning). I guess we'll wait and see what happens.

[Frisk]

I think people will be asking for summer to return by the time we reach tuesday. Much cooler and lots of rain forecasted.

Kelowna

Today A mix of sun and cloud. 60 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms this afternoon. Risk of a thunderstorm early this morning. Local smoke. Wind becoming southwest 20 km/h this afternoon. High 33. UV index 7 or high.

Tonight Partly cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Local smoke. Wind southwest 20 km/h becoming light this evening. Low 18.

Sat, 11 Jul Mainly sunny. Increasing cloudiness late in the morning then 60 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 31.
Night Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 16.

Sun, 12 Jul Showers. High 23.
Night Showers. Low 14.

Mon, 13 Jul Showers. High 25.
Night Showers. Low 14.

Tue, 14 Jul Cloudy with 70 percent chance of showers. High 24.
Night Cloudy periods. Low 15.

Wed, 15 Jul A mix of sun and cloud. High 28.
Night Cloudy periods. Low 15.

Thu, 16 Jul A mix of sun and cloud with 40 percent chance of showers. High 26.

[Frisk]

There's cooler temperatures and a decent chance of precipitation everywhere in BC. Perhaps the beginning of a wet summer?