The polls
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- Buddha of the Board
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Re: The polls
- Retrosnap wrote:
Just finished reading the conclusions in the report.
Election results, especially from the past few years always seem to surprise the pollsters and many of the media pundits as well. After reading the summary, however, my own biased opinion is that it will be a liberal victory on Tuesday.
- The NDP has to pick up 9 seats provincially...the libs need only to hold, or limit their losses to 3 seats
- The Libs hold a commanding lead in suburbs of greater vancouver, and stand to pick up 3 seats as a result of two new seats and a retiring independant in solidly liberal ridings
- the NDP is only marginally ahead of the Libs on the island...vote splitting could conceivably result in the liberals taking a seat or two despite losing the popular vote. Vote splitting allowed the 1996 NDP to win despite losing the popular vote.
The downward trend in the polling numbers, and Horgan's continued insistence that he'll tell us how he'll accomplish things AFTER he wins, like today's announcement that he'll tell us all how he plans to stop the Trans Mountain pipeline, all point to another liberal victory. It's going to be an interesting night on Tuesday.
Also, the "undecided" voters, certainly in recent elections, tend to move more to the incumbent party than to the challengers so that's in the Liberals' favour. And the pollsters say that in terms of winning seats it's more difficult for the NDP because their vote isn't that efficient. Finally, when you see that voters may be tired of the Liberals but they see Clark as a better premier than Horgan and when you see, by a wide margin, that people believe the Liberals will win, those are very telling responses. Five more days!
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- Grand Pooh-bah
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Re: The polls
I honestly don't think people are so fed up with the liberals so much as they have had enough of the old guard Christy, DeJong and the chubby guy whose name I always forget. A close race may get rid of a few of those on both sides and put some fresh ideas into office.
Never argue with an idiot, they will just drag you down to their level and beat you with experience.
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- Insanely Prolific
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Re: The polls
“It doesn’t matter whether you’re black or brown or white or whatever the hell color you are — it doesn’t matter. We are all Americans, and we are going to pull together as Americans!” - Donald J. Trump, President-Elect 2024.
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- Buddha of the Board
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Re: The polls
^^ Reminds of those students at UBCO I heard on the radio this morning who had no idea who the party leaders were and no idea that we were having an election.
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- Grand Pooh-bah
- Posts: 2734
- Joined: Aug 29th, 2005, 2:06 pm
Re: The polls
I even shook the guys hand once and can't remember his name. Must have made a wonderful impression on me. Funny thing, I couldn't name a member of congress either.
I googled it, Rich Coleman.
Senator Jame Abnor ( I googled that too)
I googled it, Rich Coleman.
Senator Jame Abnor ( I googled that too)
Never argue with an idiot, they will just drag you down to their level and beat you with experience.
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- Grand Pooh-bah
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- Joined: Aug 29th, 2005, 2:06 pm
Re: The polls
I never said I had no idea but for some reason I always forget his name.Urbane wrote:^^ Reminds of those students at UBCO I heard on the radio this morning who had no idea who the party leaders were and no idea that we were having an election.
Never argue with an idiot, they will just drag you down to their level and beat you with experience.
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- Generalissimo Postalot
- Posts: 764
- Joined: Nov 19th, 2007, 8:43 pm
Re: The polls
You sir, can post where you want....whenever you want....about whatever you want.What about those of us that don't support the Liberals or the NDP that don't live in the Okanagon, Are we allowed to post here ?
I was just interested in understanding why anyone in the NDP camp would waste their time trying to sway people in this particular region.
Victoria South and North Van are some real battlegrounds where the NDP could either win some seats....or stave off the Greens from taking some away.
Two essential strategies for success.
1) Never reveal all you know
2)
1) Never reveal all you know
2)
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- Buddha of the Board
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Re: The polls
- mr.bandaid wrote: I never said I had no idea but for some reason I always forget his name.
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- Walks on Forum Water
- Posts: 14370
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Re: The polls
I saw that on TV too and was shocked. Those students represent the "better educated" of our young people, yet they appear to be woefully ignorant of even the most basic facts about our political system. Doesn't bode well for the future, does it?Urbane wrote:^^ Reminds of those students at UBCO I heard on the radio this morning who had no idea who the party leaders were and no idea that we were having an election.
"In a world swathed in political correctness, the voting booth remains the final sanctuary where the people are free to speak" - Clifford Orwin
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- Übergod
- Posts: 1296
- Joined: Jun 3rd, 2008, 11:41 am
Re: The polls
^^That's precisely the reason we should pay no attention to political polls. There are just so many politically-challenged people in this country that we just never know what the heck they're going to do once inside that polling booth.
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- Walks on Forum Water
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Re: The polls
You make a good point lasnomadas. Sad, isn't it?
"In a world swathed in political correctness, the voting booth remains the final sanctuary where the people are free to speak" - Clifford Orwin
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- Guru
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Re: The polls
I find that a rather ironic statement, considering you've been celebrating an NDP victory for quite some time already, whilst the rest of us have openly conceded we need to see what happens on election day.lasnomadas wrote:^^That's precisely the reason we should pay no attention to political polls. There are just so many politically-challenged people in this country that we just never know what the heck they're going to do once inside that polling booth.
Every song ends.....
Is that any reason not to enjoy the music? - Peyton Sawyer
Is that any reason not to enjoy the music? - Peyton Sawyer
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- Queen of the Castle
- Posts: 71502
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Re: The polls
We do.
Copious amounts of liquor should be flowing.
Or Kool-aid.
Copious amounts of liquor should be flowing.
Or Kool-aid.
Regardless of who "wins" an election, they always are up against a Silent Elite. Do you believe the extreme poor who voted for Trump ever thought their non-profit support would be slashed right out from under them?
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- Übergod
- Posts: 1296
- Joined: Jun 3rd, 2008, 11:41 am
Re: The polls
Wrong again as usual, OT. I vote for the candidate, not the party, unlike the Christy Cheerleaders. It's a well-known fact that if Charlie Manson got paroled, moved to B.C. and became leader of the BC Liberal Party, they'd win this election.......even if J.C. himself came back and ran for the NDP or the Greens.
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- Buddha of the Board
- Posts: 22843
- Joined: Jul 8th, 2007, 7:41 pm
Re: The polls
- lasnomadas wrote:Wrong again as usual, OT. I vote for the candidate, not the party, unlike the Christy Cheerleaders. It's a well-known fact that if Charlie Manson got paroled, moved to B.C. and became leader of the BC Liberal Party, they'd win this election.......even if J.C. himself came back and ran for the NDP or the Greens.