Climate change health costs add $100B in 28 years

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Jlabute
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Climate change health costs add $100B in 28 years

Post by Jlabute »

Climate change health costs to top $100B by mid-century: report
https://www.castanet.net/news/Canada/33 ... ury-report

Here is the FULL report
https://climatechoices.ca/wp-content/up ... ne2021.pdf


This particular report was done by a group called "Canadian Institute for Climate Choices" so there is already a strong likelihood of BIAS when a report comes from an activist group. The report claims climate change will make "health inequities" worse:
Our report shows that climate change will make existing health inequities worse and concludes that addressing climate change requires recognizing the systemic issues that place some people at greater risk. Failing to do so will lead to higher costs, more illness, and additional deaths from climate change impacts
The most climate threatened in society are those who experience inequity, racism, systemic racism and all other most recent 'wokisms' to feed this incalculable elusive fear.

The report points out:
Lyme disease impacts are uncertain, but they are likely smaller than many other climate change impacts on health.
The language in the report conveys vast uncertainty. No chart provided has error bars. This leads me to believe it is very dishonest. They do not know what spreads lime disease. It can't be modelled. Climate has never been accurately modelled. The report does not reveal formula, or climate assumptions in calculations. Canada's current health care budget is $265.5 billion or 11.5% of GDP. By 2050 Canada's population will greatly increase, larger portions of the population will be older. This in itself could increase costs by $100B.

https://www.nia-ryerson.ca/commentary-p ... y-30-years
Ground-level ozone and other impacts to air quality are a clear threat to health.
What the report does not consider, is that by 2040, only EVs will be available for purchase. EVs generate twice as much ozone as conventional cars. The report says ozone 'could' increase by 22% but do not say how. Ozone is mentioned 60 times in the report. Ozone is also present in cold winter months. Canada will have less vehicle, residential, and industrial pollution by 2050.
Heat waves will continue to become more frequent and severe.
This is impossible to know globally or regionally. What else is impossible to know will be the occurrence of cold waves. More people directly die from cold than from heat. No mention in the report and is likely assumed to not exist.
Impacts to mental health could be among the costliest climate-related health impacts for Canada.
The largest impact on mental health is the continual, non-scientific, unsubstantiated propaganda. Models may be a tool to help gain an understanding of a system, but are not a replacement for good science. The models could be off by a 1000%.
It is not possible or appropriate to assign every loss a dollar value—but that does not mean they are not important.
More unknowns. Of course, the report does say it is not appropriate to assign a dollar loss value to intangibles, so why mention it.
In addition to a growing burden of climate-related impacts, health systems in Canada are also faced with physical risks to health infrastructure
The new norm in BC the last few years is fewer forest fires. Forrest fires have not been the norm for quite awhile in BC. These "norms" obviously are not understood at all and act completely random in nature. Not to mention it can all be attributed to weather and man. Weather events are not getting worse.
Governments should invest in research on emerging, unknown, and local climate change health impacts.
Climate Change is not a local phenomena and a global change of 0.14c per decade is not harmful. The climate experts don't even know what the results of more CO2 will be. Climate experts do not know climate sensitivity to CO2. We don't know what causes an ice age every 100,000 years. The report does not talk about the benefits of more CO2 and that food production is at an all time high. Climate related deaths are at an all time low. Of course this report flies in the face of actual data as man's condition has always been improving due to technology and awareness.
climate-related-deaths.png

At a glance, I can't take this report seriously and find it to be an assault on common sense. It is reading a report such as this that would cause a person to require mental health support. It is all impossible to model, as so many other reports these days are. Models for climate, COVID, and numerous future events are wrong because the science behind extremely complex events is not fully understood and whitewashing garbage through a 'model' does not make for better predictions.

How could anyone expect --- the climate will change an unknown amount --- causing unknown extreme weather events of which there is no evidence it would increase --- causing an unknown amount of additional ozone for unknown reason --- adding other unknown human activity factors(EVs?) --- coupled with unknown systemic racism --- coupled with unknown racial and gender inequities --- by age --- by geographic location --- minus the benefits of more CO2, minus the benefits of fossil fuels to date --- etc.... and then come up a $100B price-tag. I could add my own prediction and say Canada's health care system will save $10B come 2050 due to improvements in home care and wellness information.

If you believe someone was honestly able to calculate this using a supercomputer for 10 years i'd have to call BS. Any very large numbers with only 1 significant digit is already suspect... it means there is no accuracy to their calculations and they want to partake in future reports.
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Last edited by Jlabute on Jun 3rd, 2021, 10:40 am, edited 1 time in total.
By denying scientific principles , one may maintain any paradox
ckil
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Re: Climate change health costs add $100B in 28 years

Post by ckil »

That report is hilarious. I agree with you. Thx for posting.
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Jlabute
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Re: Climate change health costs add $100B in 28 years

Post by Jlabute »

Just because climate change exists, it doesn't necessarily mean the climate of your specific country is changing, or that anything harmful occurs. If one were to take Finland for example you see over time that deaths in summer months is slightly decreasing rather than increasing. This is what you see everywhere, not just Finland, and it does not affect gender. Models can NOT be relied upon. It could also mean warmer temperatures are better than previously colder temperatures.

image-10.png
image-12.png

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2021/06/03/ ... -modeling/
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